It might still be winter, but the arrival of the first sakura forecast gives those dreaming of cherry blossoms and warmer days something to look forward to. On December 18, the Japan Meteorological Corporation released its first cherry blossom forecast of 2026, giving us a good idea of when sakura season is expected to begin.
The JMC forecast predicts the first flowering and full bloom dates of the popular somei yoshino variety of cherry blossoms for around 1,000 destinations across Japan. This highly anticipated forecast is based on temperature patterns from this past autumn and has been released slightly earlier than usual. The agency is also incorporating artificial intelligence to provide earlier dates, helping people plan their sakura trips more effectively.
In Tokyo, cherry blossoms are predicted to start flowering on March 19, with full bloom expected around March 26 – a few days earlier than last season.
As for other popular destinations, Kyoto and Osaka are expected to see initial bloom by March 24, reaching full bloom by March 31. Sapporo is predicted to start flowering from April 28, with full bloom by May 1, while Fukuoka is expected to see flowers by May 20, reaching full bloom by May 27.
We'll continue to keep you posted as the forecast changes. The next update from the JMC is scheduled for January 8. In the meantime, you can still enjoy many of Tokyo’s festive illuminations and magical Christmas events.
For a closer look at the forecast, visit the website.
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